As Japan takes on Samoa at Al Amerat Cricket Ground (Ministry Turf 1), all eyes are on how well the sides adapt to spin-friendly conditions and wicket-heavy match patterns. Analytical models suggest a mid-scoring encounter, with spinners playing a defining role in both innings.
Squads:
Japan: Abhishek Anand, Benjamin Gou Ito-Davis, Charles Hara-Hinze, Kendel Kadowaki Fleming (C), Wataru Miyauchi, Eesam Rahman, Sabaorish Ravichandran, Reo Sakurano-Thomas, Abdul Samad, Alexander Shirai-Patmore, Shoma Sugaya-Slater, Declan Suzuki-McComb, Ibrahim Takahashi, Makoto Taniyama, Lachlan Yamamoto-Lake
Samoa: Daniel Burgess, Douglas Finau, Sam French, Kurtis Hynam-Nyberg, Caleb Jasmat (C), Faafetai Ben Mailata, Noah Mead, Soloman Mene Nash, Samson Sola, Sean Solia, Fereti Sululoto, Leaupepe Luteru Ross Poutoa Lote Taylor, Saumani Tiai, Ili Tugaga, Darius Visser
Ground & Pitch Report
| Metric | Value | Inference |
| Venue | Al Amerat Cricket Ground (Ministry Turf 1) | Balanced pitch with a spin bias |
| Predicted Winning Score | 135–145 runs | Mid-range target expected |
| Average Wickets per Match (2025) | 13.1 | High wicket frequency |
| Bowling Avg (Pace/Spin) | 24.03 / 23.09 | Spinners show greater efficiency |
| Total Boundaries Expected | 32 | Average boundary count for the surface |
| Wicket Range Probability | 7–8 wickets | 66.67% chance per innings |
Top Batters to Watch
| Player | Team | Chance of Scoring 20+ | Role Type | Strike Rate Range |
| Eesam Rahman | Japan | 100% | All-rounder (Anchor) | 130–140 |
| Kendel Kadowaki Fleming | Japan | 58% | Top-order Aggressor | 140–155 |
| Sean Solia | Samoa | 50% | Top-order Aggressor | 125–135 |
| Darius Visser | Samoa | 39% | Finisher | 135–145 |
Rahman’s perfect consistency metric reflects his ability to adapt to varying match tempos. Fleming’s high strike rate makes him Japan’s impact player early on.
Top Bowlers to Watch
| Player | Team | Wicket Probability | Bowling Type |
| Shoma Slater | Japan | 50% | Medium Pace |
| Benjamin Ito | Japan | 50% | Off-spin |
| Saumani Tiai | Samoa | 48% | Orthodox-spin |
| Darius Visser | Samoa | 40% | Medium Fast |
Slater’s pace control is expected to be decisive through the middle overs. For Samoa, Tiai’s variations will be crucial to disrupt Japan’s rhythm between overs 7–15.
Win Prediction
| Scenario | Japan Win % | Samoa Win % |
| If Samoa bats first | 72% | 28% |
| If Japan bats first | 67% | 33% |
AI Cricket Prediction Verdict: Japan’s analytics-driven stability in both spin and strike rotation gives them a clear advantage. Expect a par score of 135–145, around 13 wickets per match, and moderate boundary output (~32).
